Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 153.238269 180.860340 214.654976 259.951285 320.554464 401.174476 520.921308
2024-12-15 117.633101 149.724585 193.919868 262.349808 372.290193 556.762390 932.992160
2024-12-22 96.224534 127.641511 173.902393 252.067127 393.754809 675.975287 1435.721252
2024-12-29 87.495888 120.582506 172.489201 268.162593 465.428711 946.795356 2873.738086
2025-01-05 76.648810 108.006415 159.083079 258.416586 481.245512 1110.667728 4696.215095
2025-01-12 70.031332 100.868013 153.019486 260.220218 523.697622 1408.541120 9995.294988
2025-01-19 63.876787 93.522760 145.107109 255.814909 548.937008 1697.545548 23215.387123
2025-01-26 61.979474 92.985355 149.303640 278.570565 665.389504 2683.145520 604709.657101
2025-02-02 61.820804 95.372015 159.441513 319.011888 879.783941 5515.759962 NaN
2025-02-09 57.740044 90.123775 153.292920 316.365372 934.294208 7583.983673 NaN
2025-02-16 54.843940 86.734236 150.458058 321.938741 1033.885335 12242.765722 NaN
2025-02-23 51.947532 83.026177 146.355498 322.749783 1115.650124 19909.449297 NaN
2025-03-02 48.788845 78.842728 141.358799 322.054362 1210.236838 39563.142168 NaN
2025-03-09 46.145391 75.452000 137.777932 325.395583 1348.140318 128069.597439 NaN
2025-03-16 42.858631 70.444622 129.695121 311.382524 1351.631616 287440.887352 NaN
2025-03-23 41.799234 69.805881 131.819852 333.352872 1692.142053 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 39.157148 65.661689 124.814529 320.025623 1697.891804 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 37.487426 63.394541 122.167505 322.486495 1885.359234 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 35.618728 60.551020 117.693349 316.480341 1973.996690 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 35.340661 61.053111 121.878261 347.665485 2713.481558 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 35.731792 63.040698 130.413697 404.045072 4565.237990 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 34.239650 60.703482 126.637914 400.318958 5012.212283 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 33.176634 59.251216 125.189160 408.171752 6056.344437 NaN NaN